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Emerging Tech & AI • 5 min read • October 2026

AI in Crisis Decision-Making: Strategic Benefactor or Hidden Vector?

Mitali Thapar
Mitali Thapar Founder, Illuminate Resilience • Former Bank of England Lead
AI in Crisis Decision-Making: Strategic Benefactor or Hidden Vector?

The corporate rush to integrate artificial intelligence into enterprise workflows has created enormous efficiency gains. Yet in high-stakes crisis management, over-reliance on predictive models introduces unprecedented operational vulnerabilities.

The Limits of Historical Training in Black-Swan Events

Artificial intelligence models are fundamentally trained on historical distributions. They excel at pattern matching, routine anomaly detection, and synthetic data generation. But true systemic crises are, by definition, unprecedented: novel geopolitical interventions, unanticipated multi-rail outages, or black-swan market dislocations.

When a crisis falls outside training data boundaries, automated models produce high-confidence hallucinations or suggest optimizations that violate regulatory mandates. Human leadership must retain the critical reasoning to question algorithmic recommendations.

Algorithmic Risk as an Operational Attack Vector

Beyond its limits in decision-making, AI itself represents a growing operational vulnerability. Poisoned training datasets, model inversion attacks, and unmonitored agentic permissions can rapidly compromise data integrity across wealth management platforms and customer infrastructure.

At Illuminate Resilience, we view AI analytically: both as a potential source of great leverage and as an operational vector requiring rigorous governance and ethical boundaries.

Strategic Takeaway

Technology can synthesize signals, but accountability, ethics, and boardroom stewardship remain inherently human burdens.

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